A-Shares: Doubled Stock Crashes at Close
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The Chinese stock market has recently shown a pattern of varied performance across different sectors. Certain segments such as industrial mother machines, reducers, wind power equipment, and energy metals have seen notable increases, making them stand out positively in the current financial climate. Conversely, individual stocks have experienced dramatic fluctuations in value. For example, Tuowei Information, a stock that recently witnessed its price double, made headlines for plummeting to its limit down at the end of trading.
In today’s trading session, the A-share market opened lower, with indices such as the Shenzhen Component Index, the ChiNext Index, and the Sci-Tech 50 all experiencing declines of over 1%. Despite this decline, the Sci-Tech Board bucked the trend, with the Sci-Tech 50 index managing to rise into positive territory, reaching a new high not seen in nearly two years. The volume of stocks that decreased in value outnumbered those that increased, resulting in a shrinkage in trading volume down to 19.3 trillion yuan.
On the trading floor, the sectors that performed the best included those connected to industrial mother machines, reducers, wind power equipment, and energy metals. In contrast, sectors such as seed industries, film exhibition lines, grain concepts, telecom services, and gaming saw considerable losses.
The movement in individual stocks also drew attention, particularly the drastic fall of Tuowei Information, a stock that has generated substantial interest recently due to its rapid appreciation.
Real-time monitoring from Wind reveals that the electronics and machinery sectors captured over 8 billion yuan in net inflow of institutional funds. Additionally, the automotive sector attracted more than 5.3 billion yuan. Other sectors like power equipment, computers, and steel also saw net inflows exceeding 2 billion yuan. However, there was a significant outflow in non-banking financial sectors, exceeding 3.9 billion yuan, along with basic chemicals, media, and banking, which saw net outflows over 2 billion yuan.
Looking ahead, Dongxing Securities has projected that the market may form a new value central platform between 3200 points and 3300 points. They suggest a downward volatility potential of around 10%, with an upward elasticity potential of at least 15%. This essentially translates to a downside risk near the 3000-point mark, while the upward potential could reach at least 3800 points. The anticipated market trajectory favors oscillation with an upward tendency. This optimism is rooted in the recovery of the fundamental economy, diminishing external pressures, and proactive policies.
According to Xiangcai Securities, we are still in the midst of a spring market rally, expecting the artificial intelligence trend seen in February to continue through March, likely shifting direction afterward. In terms of specific industries, they favor technology and consumption sectors. They suggest attention be directed towards AI, humanoid robots, AI initiatives from state-owned enterprises, real estate services, port and shipping industries, digital services, and non-bank financial securities, which could be buoyed by policies aimed at revitalizing capital markets.

In terms of market highlights, the robotics sector continues to strengthen, with reducers leading the charge. The sector index opened low but rebounded, achieving over a 2% increase, marking the fifth consecutive day of reaching historic highs. Notable stocks include Mingyang Technology, which hit a trading limit of 30% increase, and Hengfeng Tools, which saw a 20% increase. Other stocks like Yongmaotai, Julun Intelligent, and Landai Technology also surged to their limits.
According to GGII, China's demand for industrial robot reducers is projected to reach 1.3442 million units in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 13.01%. Specifically, the expected demand for RV reducers and harmonic reducers is estimated at 560,500 units and 783,700 units, respectively. Furthermore, GGII estimates that from 2025 to 2028, the total demand for reducers in the industrial robot sector will exceed 7.5 million units.
Pingan Securities has stated that precision reducers are core components of intelligent manufacturing. From a demand perspective, the increasing need for new industrial robots is one of the primary driving forces behind the reducer industry’s growth. Additionally, the replacement needs in the existing market, driven by the longevity of reducers, also contribute to that demand. The emergence of humanoid robots is set to create more extensive opportunities for precision reducers, which may soon welcome a new phase of growth.
The concept of flying cars has experienced its fifth consecutive day of gains, achieving new highs despite adverse market conditions. Notably, the stock of Markforged surged by 20% and was met with substantial transaction volume, as Tiancheng Intelligent also locked in its gains for the second consecutive day. Companies such as Weitong Stock and Chuangshiji along with Xiangyou Pump have also marked significant increases.
Recently, the electrically powered flying car known as Model A, developed by Alef Aeronautics—a company backed by Elon Musk—successfully carried out its first test flight in a California urban area, reigniting enthusiasm among investors regarding the flying car market.
According to Guoxin Securities' estimates, the medium-term perspective indicates that China's eVTOL (electric vertical take-off and landing) stable market size is expected to surpass 200 billion yuan. This includes market share for scenic flights, commuting, and whole machine sales estimated at 68.3 billion yuan, 20.8 billion yuan, and 126 billion yuan, respectively.
Furthermore, AVIC Securities suggests that the upcoming National People's Congress in March is likely to see discussions around strategic emerging sectors such as low-altitude economy and commercial aerospace. Companies that possess core technologies, often termed as "hidden champions," are well-positioned to reap extraordinary returns in the marketplace.
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